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一场逆周期的扩产豪赌:长华化学陷供需失衡与估值泡沫双困局_蜘蛛资讯网

张子萱42岁状态

期的中请材料,企业相对乐观。供应端,周度产量环比减少1362吨至17268吨,其中云母提锂降幅较大;进口方面,2025年6月中国碳酸锂进口数量为1.77万吨,环比减少16.3%。需求端,7月排产环比小幅增加,两大主材消耗碳酸锂环比增加3%至8.08万吨左右。库存端,周度库存环比减少1444吨至141726吨,其中下游库存增加,上游和其他环节减少。市场情绪和基本面博弈,仓单库存较低,市场波动率较大,

材料价格波动、市场竞争加剧、下游消费需求恢复缓慢等多种因素影响。  长华化学预计2025 年全年归属净利润为 8941.27 至 10928.21 万元,同比增长 53.75% 至 87.91%;扣非净利润 8763.50 至 10710.95 万元,同比增长 67.38% 至 104.58%。  分产品来看,长华化学主营业务聚焦聚醚系列产品,涵盖软泡用聚醚、CASE 用聚醚及特种聚醚,其中软泡用

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